Here is an article that isn’t blocked behind a paywall and that accurately attributes the damage to Russian forces.
Evacuations begin after a major dam in southern Ukraine is heavily damaged https://www.npr.org/2023/06/06/1180345954/kakhovka-dam-southern-ukraine-damaged-russia
Okay, I’ll bite. What, in your personal opinion, is the reason for Russian military do blow up the dam? What is the benefit?
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To slow down Ukraine crossing Dnepr and attacking Crimea.
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General scorched earth strategy
And I could easily flip the question around to OP. Why would Ukraine blow up their own dam, flooding their own territory and potentially crippling their own nuclear power plant? And making a counteroffensive across the Dnipro river that much harder?
It’s not to deprive Crimea of water ahead of the counteroffensive, Crimea’s reservoirs are full right now so they’ve got a year’s worth in the tank. That’s about the only possible benefit I can think of that Ukraine might have got out of this, and even if it were so it would be a trivial benefit compared to the costs. Crimea’s water supply isn’t going to make a difference to the actual fight that’s about to happen there.
And I could easily flip the question around to OP. Why would Ukraine blow up their own dam,
To justify more retaliation against Russia. Our dick of minister Charles Michel called it a war crime.
Crimea has 1 year worth ?
And what happens on year 2?
To justify more retaliation against Russia.
Ukraine doesn’t need more justification. Russia is occupying their territory. It doesn’t make sense for Ukraine to cause yet more internal displacement and risk a nuclear meltdown for something it already has.
Ukraine doesn’t need more justification. Russia is occupying their territory.
That doesn’t justify Ukraine’s shelling of the eastern territories in the Donbass. If that requires military intervention by Russia, that’s unfortunate for the western propaganda narrative of Russian military aggression.
I’m not speaking of morality. I’m speaking of whether it would convince anyone that Ukraine should be “allowed” to do anything in particular. Most people have already chosen a position. This dam will make little difference, but it will have an impact on Ukraine.
whattabout
I never said it was the sovereign Ukraine…
You really think Ukraine needs more justification for retaliation against Russia at this point?
What’s the point of flooding a region by destroying your “assets” when you could mass bombing like a deaf these villages.
After all, the west sells the war like an hegemonic move with mass slaughtering traits. Why Russia is not so heavy on using aviation, then?
US were using tomahawks on Syria for less than that.If destruction and high toll number (aka ethnic cleansing) was the goal, they won’t deliver like a grocery shop.
I forgot a part. The thing is not Ukraine would need more justification but the West.
This is a proxy war with the help of a formerly comedian, Zelensky.
As if they needed any other justification to retaliate.
They’ve been invaded and NATO is already supporting Ukraine financially and militarily.
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One thing would be that Russia has already set a precedent with a long campaign to attack and destroy civilian infrastructure (power and heat specifically) just before winter to cause bigger humanitarian crisis.
Aliexpress and Amazon still delivers in Ukraine. For a country in war and subject to unpredictable attacks, it’s quite a level of commitment.
Ho and Ukrainian TV is still emitting, you still follow your tv show.
The fact there are collateral damage, yes, the fact that is intentional annihilation, nope.
You want to see what is it for a country loosing its infrastructure during a war? google: “how much infrastructure was destroyed in Iraqi, Syria, Afghanistan ?” And “how”.
It is not with 2 mortars blowing up a kitchen and fighting on the field.Ukrainians still have broadband internet, can shop on Amazon and our officials can travel freely in Kiev.
Even Sean Penn could deliver in hand his golden toy to a country leader who should be in a bunker instead of making photo-shoot if he or Kiev was really threatened!Freaking joke!
Funny how fickle someone’s memory can be. I’m not talking about collateral damage from strikes on military targets, I’m talking about campaign directed against Ukraine’s power grid during last autumn and winter.
I even remember people here and on lemmygrad cheering on reports of how much of energy infrastructure was destroyed and admiring pictures of dark cities during blackouts. But I guess that didn’t happen? Or maybe the entire thing was fine because it failed?
Again, if he was in mass slaughter mode like said on the TV and apparently reddit refugees, your grid would have been wiped out. It’s not an isolated kitchen in city but a whole block that Russia would have destroyed.
that is intentional annihilation, nope.
What about the children being trafficked from Ukraine to Russia? The murders and systematic raping in Bucha and elsewhere. It’s plainly genocide.
To divert resources from/mess up Ukraine’s planned offensive.
Also they haven’t exactly been below causing great suffering for civilians simply because they can throughout this war.My speculation as to why they would do such a horrible thing is because they know they can’t hold the position and want to cause as much damage as possible before they leave. Why would they bomb civilian targets like apartment buildings?
Because artillery, mortar fire is not 100% accurate. Because using civilians as shield is war 101!
Yet another fucking Russian apologist, you’re a joke and a moron, everybody here can see that.
From the article
But if Russia did destroy the dam, he says, it might have hoped to protect its western flank by complicating Ukraine’s offensive moves. “We know the Russians have form for this sort of thing,” he argues, pointing to Stalin’s destruction of the Dnieper dam at Zaporizhia in 1941.
Not the OP but to create chaos and divert resources to aid the area would be my guess. Creating a sense of fear and uncertainty is one kind of tactic in my opinion.
If you are a podcast listener type. The War on the Rocks podcast has been pretty extensively covering the war in Ukraine and has some really good insights. I wouldnt be shocked if they cover this incident in a future episode.
Crimea depends on water via canal from Ukraine-controlled territory, which Ukraine shut off as was their right. This must be the big f u back in retaliation.
It’s… it’s a war zone, dude. What do you think happened? The dam just exploded all by itself?
Is Russia capable of this? Yes.
Is Ukraine capable of this? Yes.
Could the US or China have done this covertly? Yes.
Which one really did it? We’ll never know, but think about why you believe what you do from a story such as the one linked.
I agree with your sentiment. But I’m usually more suspicious of the invading force trying to annex huge regions of a sovereign country. The US, Russia, China are all imperialist in their own way. Russia is the invading force. And none of this would be happening if Russia was not there.
Russia has started an illegal war and is using illegal means. They will pay for this.
How can Russia pay for this? Even if there will be conference after Russia lost the war, the only thing the country produces in big amounts is fossil fuels. However at least the west will try to use as few of them as possible.
So how could Russia pay for it? The estimate for the damage in ukraine are now in the 12 digits.
How? You said it yourself: with exports of all sorts.
However at least the west will try to use as few of them as possible.
No, I don’t think so, the west is not ready to abandon their cars, they are not willing to drop their trucks and their boats and their chemistry. Russia will have to repay a colossal amount of money.
Sadly I fear that Russian exports are not high enough to repair all the damage they have done in Ukraine in a reasonable time. As most of their exports are fossil fuels there is only roughly 20 years left.
Which one really did it? We’ll never know
Oh, we will, be reassured that we will find out eventually.
Could the US or China have done this covertly? Yes.
So this is what we find on Lemmy? A russian apologist as top post?
First post and this is what I read. mmmkay “The USA or China could have destroyed this dam covertly”, right… The good old russian strategy of making you doubt everything you read. The goal of the russian propaganda is not to lie, the goal is to make you trust nothing, and specially not journalists.
A quick look at your history and you constantly bash the Ukrainian resistance.
Yikes! I dunno about that. I’m just saying that we should think critically about what we hear the media.
“Think critically” you say? So where are your facts? Because thinking critically is all about the facts. You have brushed away all the facts and declared “We will never know”. So where are your facts?
For example the russians had control of the dam, not the ukrainians. It’s just an example. What do you make of it? Come on, show us your “critical thinking”.
From the npr article:
Neither side has provided proof that the other side did it. The dam was damaged late last year in an explosion, and in recent weeks it was under stress from record-high waters. Satellite photos showed water flowing over the top of the dam in the past week.
Cool, the russian army is unable to defend their dam against an Ukrainian attack. What a bunch of newbies those russian soldiers are. A dam… not a building, a dam, a huge block of concrete and they were unable to even defend it.
The article was behind a paywall so apologies if this is covered:
The dam sluices were Russian controlled but the dam is on the front line. It easily could have been attacked by either side. Both sides will see flooding but moreso the Russian side because it’s flatter. Breaching the dam will empty the canal providing much-needed water to Crimea. The lower water level upstream could threaten the safety of an offline nuclear plant upriver. I can’t tell which side controls the plant, so I’m not sure who that would affect more.
Russia could have easily done this to distract Ukraine ahead of it’s counteroffensive and to make the river harder to cross. Also, Ukraine is likely more concerned about helping Ukrainians than Russia. But Ukraine could have done it for the reasons stated. We’re definitely still in the fog of war and it’s ignorant to assume we know all the details.
The dam sluices were Russian controlled but the dam is on the front line. It easily could have been attacked by either side.
Wrong, you don’t destroy a dam just like that. It takes preparation and a lot of explosives at the right points. This is not a Micahel Bay movies we’re talking about.
Both sides will see flooding but moreso the Russian side because it’s flatter. Breaching the dam will empty the canal providing much-needed water to Crimea. The lower water level upstream could threaten the safety of an offline nuclear plant upriver. I can’t tell which side controls the plant, so I’m not sure who that would affect more.
And Putin doesn’t care about all of that. He has proven it again and again.
I can’t tell which side controls the plant
Russia, They took control of the plant, which is illegal, all nations around the globe know perfectly that no army should take control of a civilian power plant. Every other army is trained to carefully avoid the nuclear power plants. For some reason Russia keeps ignoring the international laws.
But Ukraine could have done it for the reasons stated.
Nonsense, but keep trying
We’re definitely still in the fog of war and it’s ignorant to assume we know all the details.
Textbook Russian propaganda here -> “Nobody knows for sure”… Well, keep telling you that, nobody believes you west of Russia.
The dam was under Russian control and they sabotaged it to slow down the Ukrainian counter offensive. It’s fine, Ukraine knew it was a possibility and they have plans accounting for it.
You’re totally right. God bless you for being civil with red fascists
The lower water level upstream could threaten the safety of an offline nuclear plant upriver.
The plant is in the cold shutdown right now, so while it still need some water as cooling, the amount is way lower than in case of normal work, so even in the worst case of complete dam destruction it will not be affected as it is now.
I can’t tell which side controls the plant, so I’m not sure who that would affect more.
Currently Russia.
Russia could have easily done this to distract Ukraine ahead of it’s counteroffensive and to make the river harder to cross.
Problem is, nobody proven that offensive is even real, not to mention that it was prepared there. Currently the most intensive fights are being waged somewhere else. Also Russia recently hit at least two or three huge UA ammo depots which probably really did hampered any preparations. And the battle of Bakhmut was colossal meat grinder where regardless if we agree on exact numbers, Ukraine lost some of their best soldiers remaining (exactly those who would spearhead the offensive) and Russia lost mercenaries.
Both sides will see flooding but moreso the Russian side because it’s flatter.
Also basically all Russian defensive positions along the river were destroyed, countering the guy above on similar level i could say UA surely hit it because it will make their attack much easier when the flood lessens.
Finally, UA already had plans for exactly that action last year, as they admitted to WaPo:
archive link to this article: https://web.archive.org/web/20230101030959/https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/12/29/ukraine-offensive-kharkiv-kherson-donetsk/
Inside the Ukrainian counteroffensive that shocked Putin and reshaped the war
December 29, 2022 at 1:00 a.m. EST
There are no “facts” in cases like this. That’s exactly my point.
It really comes down to which narrative you believe about the current state of the war (not which side you think is justified).
If you believe the Russian propaganda, you think Russia’s control of Donbas is relatively solidified, Ukrainian forces are taking heavy losses and do not have the support of the population in the east. It makes sense for Ukraine to destroy the dam as an act of desperation in hopes that the disruption it causes will create an opening for them to exploit.
If you believe the Ukrainian propaganda, the Russians have been taking heavy losses and the rumored counteroffensive which is right around the corner will drive them out once and for all. If this is true, it gives Russia motive to destroy the dam, as they fear it will soon fall into Ukrainian hands, and its destruction will impede Ukrainian troop movements.
Personally, I tend to believe both narratives are heavily exaggerated, both sides are taking heavy losses, and that nobody is “winning” this stupid war anytime soon. But with how deeply both government/military narratives have penetrated basically all media, I’m not seeing any analysis of who benefits from this if no side is clearly winning.
Considering what Seymour Hersh’s uncovered regarding the Nord Stream Pipeline, I won’t put this one past the US, being involved in it. Yes, reputation matters.
- Why blowing up a dam you control when you could just open it to flood villages?
- Why blowing up a dam you control which feeds a region you own, Crimea?
This is you about Zelensky in a previous post. What the heck is wrong with Lemmy?
How the f# people can give 2 seconds of credit to this douche?! How Ukrainians could sacrifice their life for this sucker?!
If he had 5% of honor, he would abdicate and stop sacrificing Ukrainians lives!
What the heck is wrong with Lemmy?
Probably Tankies. 😑 With the current Reddit wave, I think they will become a small minority soon.
Let’s hope. The monopolization of progressive discourse by the CCP and its disciples has got to stop.
I hope so. All the russian and chinese apologists on here make me mad.
Are you going to say this is not the truth ?
If someone invaded my country, I would sacrifice my life to defend it. Tankies are fine with another country invading as long as they used to be the main power in the USSR or they currently have the word “socialist” or “people’s” somewhere in their name
I am not a tankie. I’m a belgian having nothing to do with ukrainians, not fan of Zelensky and Azov, I don’t appreciate the red carpet offer and using my taxes to these persons. No problem to take refugees - not the one with GLA and Q8 cars, but they will have to lining up and after the refugees from countries where NATO was involved!
Pretty simple.
Cool
I put some light and perspective on the things you write, that’s it.
Yes I don’t support Zelensky so what? He is not a leader, he has no background in politics and military. This is a clown who played guitar and piano with his dick. He doesn’t risk anything, just showing off.
Russia has the best motivations imo. They want to stall the counteroffensive which needs to cross the Dniepr.
Then why blow it up, and not open it?
Because they despise Ukraine? You have talking heads in Russian Media that openly call for genocide against people that fight for the Ukraine identity. During the war we have seen blatant incompetence that got compensated through pure cruelty and violence against civilians.
We’ve also seen blatant genocide. Not just incompetence compensated, but targeted genocide.
I agree.
Very true
Yeah, but opening it has the same effect, or?
Yeah but then they couldn’t deny it. Like always, Russian propaganda seeks not to be convincing but to make people doubt everything. Now they can simply claim that it was Ukraine’s fault.
Because they want to flood a lot quickly? They don’t just want to spill the overflow. Are you confusing dam and sluice?
A dam can have floodgates to control the flow of water (and therefore the water level in the reservoir to a degree), not just a weir with a fixed elevation where water flows over the crest, so I suspect that you might confuse a dam with a weir. I read that a professor said this particular dam had 26 gates. If you expect a flood, you’d want to open the gates beforehand, as to make room in the reservoir, and to reduce the peak flow that an uncontrolled flood would give, for example.
While I also doubt Russia blew up the dam (because I don’t really see a good reason for Russia to do so), I imagine that if the russians were behind it, they would have blown it up instead of just opening it, in order to be able to plausibly deny their involvement in the flooding. There could also have been technical reasons for doing so (maybe opening it wouldn’t have allowed the required flow for whatever goal they would have had?).
It’s not going to be a dam they control for very much longer.
Is there movement across the Dnjepr? As far as I know in the last months the front has not changed much.
Not across the Dnjepr, I don’t think anyone expected a major amphibious assault across the river. But it’s more likely the counteroffensive will go deep in Zaporizhzhia, which would let them come around to the dam from “behind”. If the Russian front collapses like it did at Kharkiv and Kherson the Ukrainian advance could be substantial.
Makes sense. But only time will tell. The counter offensive is said to start soon for last couple of months now.
I read something about the dam being under attack for quite a while now, I hope the people there have been prepared for the dam breaking.
It was also frontline for months so i guess a lot people left before. Land and buildings much worse, you can’t really prepare for that short of making another dam.
